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Nba playoff picks: spurs vs. blazers, rockets vs. lakers

Tuesday Night NBA Action | Spurs Dominate as Favorites, Lakers Defy Trends

By

Dmitry Ivanov

Apr 24, 2026, 03:11 PM

Edited By

Oliver Smith

3 minutes reading time

Players from the Spurs and Blazers prepare for an intense playoff game on the court

In an exciting Tuesday night of NBA playoff games, the San Antonio Spurs and Los Angeles Lakers step into crucial matchups. The Spurs seek to extend their playoff dominance at home against the Portland Trail Blazers, while the Lakers face the Houston Rockets hoping to defy historical trends as underdogs.

Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: A Powerful Streak to Maintain

The Spurs are a formidable force at home, standing strong with a 10-0 ATS record when favored by more than 10 points in playoff games. Tonight, they face a Trail Blazers team that has consistently struggled as a road underdog, holding a frustrating 0-4 ATS history against the Spurs in playoff matchups.

"San Antonio's track record as large home favorites is hard to ignore," one expert noted.

Victor Wembanyama, recently named Defensive Player of the Year, is a significant factor in this matchup. His performance helped limit the Blazers to just 98 points in their last encounter.

  • Portland: 0-4 ATS as a road underdog against San Antonio

  • San Antonio: 100% ATS when favored by more than 10 points in playoffs

  • Trend: Perfect 5-0 ATS in the second game of a series

Lakers Look to Upset Rockets: A Fight Against the Odds

In contrast, the Lakers are counting on their solid playoff track record, with a 70% ATS success rate as an underdog since May 2023. However, the Lakers are wary of a Rockets team that has struggled historically in road playoff games, holding an 0-5 ATS record since 2018.

Sources confirm that the Lakers are not to be underestimated, especially at home, boasting an 8-3 ATS record against the Rockets in playoff encounters.

"The Lakers' performance at home in playoff games shows they have what it takes to challenge Houston," commented a local sports analyst.

  • Houston: 3-7 ATS as road favorites in playoff games

  • Los Angeles: 7-3 ATS as underdogs since May 2023

  • Trend: Western Conference road favorites struggling in Game 2s

Insights from the Fans

Football forums are buzzing about tonightโ€™s games:

  • Fans note the Spurs have proven themselves a tough opponent at home, despite some expressing caution about the -11 spread, stating simply that "those are a lot of points against a team thatโ€™s playing loose."

  • Others highlight how the Lakers' underdog status may play to their advantage, with the sentiment that "Houston will find it hard to win comfortably."

Key Takeaways

  • ๐Ÿš€ Spurs: Historical dominance at home with 100% ATS success.

  • โš”๏ธ Lakers: Riding a strong ATS record as playoff underdogs.

  • ๐Ÿ“Š Concern: Both teams encounter unique challenges based on their playoff history.

As the clock ticks down to game time, all eyes are on how these matchups unfold and whether the underdog Lakers can create surprise drama while the Spurs look to confirm their home dominance.

What Lies Ahead for Spurs and Lakers?

As the playoff games tip off, thereโ€™s a strong chance the Spurs will continue their dominance, likely covering the -11 spread against the Trail Blazers. Experts estimate around an 85% probability that the Spurs' home advantage and their impressive ATS record will hold strong against a Blazers squad struggling to find their rhythm on the road. Conversely, the Lakers are expected to put up a robust fight against the Rockets, with about a 60% chance theyโ€™ll at least cover the spread based on their recent performance as underdogs. If they can exploit Houstonโ€™s road woes, the Lakers might surprise fans by turning the tables.

The Underdog's Journey: A Historic Echo

In a curious twist of fate, the current playoff scenario bears resemblance to the surprising run of the 2011 Dallas Mavericks who, much like todayโ€™s Lakers, entered the playoffs as a lower seed. That Mavericks team faced overwhelming odds to eventually clinch the championship by relying on their hard-working defense and strategic plays. Just as the Lakers aim to defy historical patterns, the Mavericksโ€™ unexpected success serves as a compelling reminder that underdogs can thrive by harnessing their unique strengths and resilience when the stakes are highest.